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Red396
239983.3
4028111.5
379101.6
Blue265
5413104.7
1507119.6
222889.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306338100200400500396265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.50.0
111.0111.0
Auto16.0
Teleop49.0
End46.5
blue by 8.1
119.61.2
120.8119.6
Auto14.7
Teleop47.8
End57.1
Second
379
#6
101.60.0
101.1101.1
Auto13.3
Teleop42.9
End45.4
blue by 3.1
5413
#35
104.71.2
105.8104.7
Auto11.8
Teleop47.1
End45.7
Third
2399
#36
83.30.0
82.882.8
Auto7.6
Teleop37.9
End37.8
blue by 5.8
2228
#16
89.11.2
90.289.1
Auto7.6
Teleop38.4
End43.1