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Red225
55468.2
320179.7
225281.4
Blue215
414581.7
6388.4
278381.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227275100200300400500225215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#26
81.40.1
79.179.0
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End32.6
blue by 7.0
63
#6
88.40.9
89.388.4
Auto9.5
Teleop40.2
End38.8
Second
79.70.1
77.277.1
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End46.9
blue by 2.0
81.71.0
82.781.7
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End35.2
Third
554
#30
68.20.1
65.965.8
Auto3.9
Teleop33.2
End31.0
blue by 12.9
2783
#23
81.10.9
81.981.1
Auto8.9
Teleop43.9
End28.3