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Red328
408582.5
48106.3
245178.7
Blue165
301066.7
101461.0
326058.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2841890100400500600328165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#3
106.31.8
102.6104.4
Auto13.3
Teleop47.2
End45.8
red by 39.6
3010
#14
66.70.7
68.567.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End41.0
Second
4085
#16
82.51.8
78.880.5
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End34.3
red by 21.5
61.00.7
63.062.2
Auto7.2
Teleop36.4
End17.4
Third
2451
#27
78.71.8
75.076.8
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End31.3
red by 19.8
3260
#19
58.90.8
61.160.3
Auto10.4
Teleop42.3
End6.2