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Red235
245178.7
428331.5
131774.9
Blue135
608445.1
146663.7
618545.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1911280100300400235135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#27
78.76.9
72.679.6
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End31.3
red by 15.0
1466
#17
63.70.5
50.150.6
Auto5.4
Teleop40.6
End17.8
Second
1317
#24Sur
74.96.9
46.753.6
Auto7.9
Teleop30.6
End36.4
red by 29.0
6185
#40
45.90.5
36.436.9
Auto4.7
Teleop26.1
End15.1
Third
4283
#42
31.56.9
53.260.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End10.7
blue by 13.6
6084
#38Sur
45.10.5
44.144.6
Auto8.0
Teleop29.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed