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Red200
603258.4
103866.1
37984.0
Blue185
428446.1
408582.5
146663.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197149050100250300350400200185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#10
84.02.2
74.576.7
Auto10.7
Teleop40.2
End33.1
red by 1.6
4085
#16
82.54.1
69.673.8
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End34.3
Second
1038
#20
66.12.2
44.446.6
Auto8.1
Teleop36.1
End21.9
red by 2.3
1466
#17
63.74.1
50.654.7
Auto5.4
Teleop40.6
End17.8
Third
6032
#43
58.42.2
61.463.6
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End26.0
red by 12.3
4284
#22
46.14.1
27.731.9
Auto8.5
Teleop30.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed