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Red140
278381.1
130823.7
452138.6
Blue215
225281.4
301066.7
428446.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135153050100200250300140215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#23
81.11.1
64.565.6
Auto8.9
Teleop43.9
End28.3
blue by 0.3
2252
#26
81.48.0
58.566.6
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End32.6
Second
4521
#47
38.61.1
42.343.3
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End8.9
blue by 28.1
3010
#14
66.78.0
52.260.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End41.0
Third
1308
#45
23.71.1
23.724.8
Auto5.8
Teleop23.3
End-5.4
blue by 22.4
4284
#22
46.18.0
31.939.9
Auto8.5
Teleop30.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed