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Red238
55468.2
144107.7
377759.9
Blue165
301066.7
514666.5
603258.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17419450100150250300350238165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#1
107.77.7
79.787.4
Auto11.4
Teleop41.0
End55.2
red by 40.9
3010
#14
66.71.8
60.358.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End41.0
Second
554
#30
68.27.7
32.540.2
Auto3.9
Teleop33.2
End31.0
red by 1.7
5146
#12
66.51.8
49.047.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End26.9
Third
3777
#13
59.97.7
56.364.0
Auto5.8
Teleop43.2
End11.0
red by 1.5
6032
#43
58.41.8
72.170.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End26.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed