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Red200
301066.7
131774.9
313869.0
Blue145
103866.1
285661.8
45149.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18917250100150250300350200145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1317
#24
74.92.5
64.567.0
Auto7.9
Teleop30.6
End36.4
red by 8.8
1038
#20
66.12.3
47.845.5
Auto8.1
Teleop36.1
End21.9
Second
3138
#11
69.02.5
54.256.8
Auto5.3
Teleop37.8
End25.9
red by 7.2
2856
#21
61.82.3
58.055.7
Auto8.5
Teleop28.1
End25.2
Third
3010
#14
66.72.5
58.561.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End41.0
red by 17.5
451
#33
49.22.3
59.857.5
Auto8.1
Teleop32.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed