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Red215
301066.7
245178.7
146663.7
Blue185
6388.4
549275.5
326629.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19419204006008001,0001,2001,400215185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#27
78.73.0
69.272.2
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End31.3
blue by 9.7
63
#6
88.40.2
86.486.7
Auto9.5
Teleop40.2
End38.8
Second
3010
#14
66.73.0
62.465.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End41.0
blue by 8.8
5492
#25
75.50.3
67.067.3
Auto9.3
Teleop32.9
End33.4
Third
1466
#17
63.73.2
52.455.6
Auto5.4
Teleop40.6
End17.8
red by 34.4
3266
#46
29.30.2
29.029.3
Auto4.0
Teleop28.1
End-2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed