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Red257
278381.1
408582.5
217262.6
Blue285
101461.0
55468.2
396663.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229128050100150200250300350400257285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#16
82.54.7
65.970.6
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End34.3
red by 14.3
554
#30
68.213.2
51.264.4
Auto3.9
Teleop33.2
End31.0
Second
2783
#23
81.14.7
76.481.1
Auto8.9
Teleop43.9
End28.3
red by 17.5
3966
#15
63.613.2
43.957.1
Auto6.5
Teleop31.4
End25.7
Third
2172
#36
62.64.7
61.666.4
Auto6.5
Teleop29.8
End26.4
red by 1.6
61.014.3
41.055.4
Auto7.2
Teleop36.4
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed