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Red215
320179.7
414581.7
377759.9
Blue101
55468.2
146663.7
285661.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161159100120140180200220215101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.71.3
57.959.3
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End35.2
red by 13.5
554
#30
68.26.1
48.142.0
Auto3.9
Teleop33.2
End31.0
Second
79.71.3
50.051.4
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End46.9
red by 16.0
1466
#17
63.76.1
56.250.1
Auto5.4
Teleop40.6
End17.8
Third
3777
#13
59.91.3
44.946.3
Auto5.8
Teleop43.2
End11.0
blue by 1.9
2856
#21
61.86.1
46.940.7
Auto8.5
Teleop28.1
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed