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Red100
428331.5
217262.6
33757.4
Blue315
313869.0
37984.0
348461.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1692180100300400500100315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#36
62.65.5
66.460.8
Auto6.5
Teleop29.8
End26.4
blue by 21.4
379
#10
84.02.8
80.883.6
Auto10.7
Teleop40.2
End33.1
Second
337
#34
57.45.5
63.858.3
Auto8.5
Teleop26.5
End22.3
blue by 11.6
3138
#11
69.02.8
60.963.7
Auto5.3
Teleop37.8
End25.9
Third
4283
#42
31.56.0
37.531.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End10.7
blue by 30.1
3484
#29
61.62.8
58.861.6
Auto3.9
Teleop28.9
End28.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed