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Red205
33757.4
144107.7
23492.5
Blue195
225281.4
320179.7
55468.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285225100200400500205195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#1
107.71.4
109.1107.7
Auto11.4
Teleop41.0
End55.2
red by 26.3
2252
#26
81.40.7
79.078.4
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End32.6
Second
234
#7
92.51.3
93.992.6
Auto11.9
Teleop51.7
End29.0
red by 12.8
79.70.7
77.176.4
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End46.9
Third
337
#34
57.41.4
58.957.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.5
End22.3
blue by 10.8
554
#30
68.20.7
65.865.1
Auto3.9
Teleop33.2
End31.0