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Red256
33757.4
144107.7
23492.5
Blue265
225281.4
320179.7
55468.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279228100150200250300350400450256265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#1
107.70.0
107.7107.7
Auto11.4
Teleop41.0
End55.2
red by 26.3
2252
#26
81.41.0
79.580.5
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End32.6
Second
234
#7
92.50.0
92.692.5
Auto11.9
Teleop51.7
End29.0
red by 12.8
79.71.1
77.678.8
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End46.9
Third
337
#34
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto8.5
Teleop26.5
End22.3
blue by 10.8
554
#30
68.21.0
66.267.3
Auto3.9
Teleop33.2
End31.0