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Red311
400596.0
393169.6
2359114.2
Blue235
180693.1
6026106.9
93284.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299297250350400311235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.20.7
113.7114.4
Auto15.0
Teleop45.1
End54.0
red by 7.2
106.91.7
108.4106.7
Auto12.6
Teleop38.1
End56.2
Second
4005
#15
96.01.2
95.396.5
Auto9.9
Teleop33.6
End52.6
red by 3.0
1806
#11
93.11.6
94.492.9
Auto13.4
Teleop48.9
End30.8
Third
69.60.7
69.169.8
Auto9.0
Teleop37.0
End23.5
blue by 14.6
932
#26
84.21.2
85.284.0
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.2