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Red306
400596.0
393169.6
2359114.2
Blue311
180693.1
6026106.9
93284.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296293220240260280320340360380306311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.20.6
113.5114.2
Auto15.0
Teleop45.1
End54.0
red by 7.2
106.90.9
106.0106.9
Auto12.6
Teleop38.1
End56.2
Second
4005
#15
96.01.1
95.096.0
Auto9.9
Teleop33.6
End52.6
red by 3.0
1806
#11
93.10.9
92.293.1
Auto13.4
Teleop48.9
End30.8
Third
69.60.6
68.969.6
Auto9.0
Teleop37.0
End23.5
blue by 14.6
932
#26
84.20.6
83.584.2
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.2