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Red200
517856.5
3160.8
452288.0
Blue205
557866.0
3284107.8
277368.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198195100150250300200205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#41
88.00.6
81.781.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End52.5
blue by 19.8
107.80.8
97.298.0
Auto16.1
Teleop46.4
End45.3
Second
31
#38
60.80.8
50.349.5
Auto9.9
Teleop26.9
End24.0
blue by 7.3
68.11.0
55.056.0
Auto7.9
Teleop24.5
End35.7
Third
5178
#45
56.51.0
51.950.9
Auto9.3
Teleop27.2
End20.0
blue by 9.4
5578
#16
66.01.2
37.238.4
Auto5.6
Teleop37.3
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed