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Red290
346569.5
555078.3
287455.1
Blue131
646237.2
366076.7
246136.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179170100150200250300290131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.37.7
64.271.9
Auto11.4
Teleop32.8
End34.0
red by 1.6
3660
#20
76.73.3
82.779.4
Auto2.4
Teleop42.3
End31.9
Second
3465
#44
69.512.0
57.469.5
Auto4.1
Teleop35.0
End30.4
red by 32.3
6462
#50
37.23.3
40.537.2
Auto1.9
Teleop22.2
End13.1
Third
2874
#40
55.17.7
47.455.1
Auto2.2
Teleop31.8
End21.1
red by 18.7
2461
#56
36.43.3
39.736.4
Auto7.2
Teleop39.5
End-10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed