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Red195
93284.2
500136.2
298661.0
Blue270
324777.1
521263.8
512687.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1832250100300400195270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#26
84.21.0
85.586.5
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.2
blue by 3.1
5126
#23
87.33.8
83.587.3
Auto8.4
Teleop37.2
End41.7
Second
2986
#39
61.01.7
59.361.0
Auto5.5
Teleop31.9
End23.5
blue by 16.1
3247
#19
77.15.9
67.273.1
Auto8.5
Teleop30.4
End38.1
Third
5001
#59
36.21.6
34.636.2
Auto3.3
Teleop26.1
End6.8
blue by 27.6
5212
#25
63.86.3
57.563.8
Auto7.7
Teleop27.7
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed