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Red202
279572.9
235297.0
234186.3
Blue313
2359114.2
393169.6
400596.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272293100150200250350400450500202313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.01.3
98.397.0
Auto13.1
Teleop33.7
End50.2
blue by 17.2
114.20.8
112.9113.7
Auto15.0
Teleop45.1
End54.0
Second
86.31.3
87.686.3
Auto10.7
Teleop37.7
End38.0
blue by 9.7
4005
#15
96.01.4
93.995.3
Auto9.9
Teleop33.6
End52.6
Third
2795
#31
72.91.9
74.872.9
Auto5.3
Teleop31.8
End35.7
red by 3.3
69.60.8
68.369.1
Auto9.0
Teleop37.0
End23.5