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Red281
93284.2
6026106.9
180693.1
Blue183
366076.7
3284107.8
361276.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311283100200400500281183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.91.9
109.5107.6
Auto12.6
Teleop38.1
End56.2
blue by 0.9
107.82.0
111.2109.2
Auto16.1
Teleop46.4
End45.3
Second
1806
#11
93.11.8
95.593.7
Auto13.4
Teleop48.9
End30.8
red by 16.4
3660
#20
76.72.9
81.678.7
Auto2.4
Teleop42.3
End31.9
Third
932
#26
84.21.3
86.084.7
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.2
red by 7.8
3612
#43
76.42.0
79.877.8
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End37.6