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Red440
478337.3
201387.3
4001104.3
Blue300
124186.7
132587.3
633663.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2232330100300400500600440300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#11
104.32.8
99.0101.8
Auto11.9
Teleop43.5
End48.8
red by 17.0
87.31.8
81.383.1
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End31.1
Second
87.32.8
82.084.8
Auto8.3
Teleop44.2
End34.7
red by 0.6
86.71.8
80.682.4
Auto11.5
Teleop50.0
End25.1
Third
4783
#28
37.32.8
32.034.8
Auto2.6
Teleop24.8
End9.8
blue by 26.6
6336
#16
63.91.8
57.859.6
Auto2.3
Teleop25.7
End35.8