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Red230
551953.5
588579.6
270687.1
Blue281
434368.9
78182.6
492073.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236235230240250260270280230281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#15
87.11.0
88.187.1
Auto1.4
Teleop40.3
End45.4
red by 4.5
781
#8
82.60.7
82.283.0
Auto7.7
Teleop39.4
End35.4
Second
79.61.1
80.679.6
Auto5.1
Teleop42.9
End31.6
red by 6.6
4920
#14
73.00.7
72.673.3
Auto9.1
Teleop39.4
End24.5
Third
5519
#20
53.51.0
54.453.5
Auto4.9
Teleop23.4
End25.2
blue by 15.5
4343
#21
68.90.7
68.669.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.0
End39.9