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Red140
551953.5
492073.0
588579.6
Blue175
299493.3
633663.9
568033.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158183100200250140175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.61.5
48.146.6
Auto5.1
Teleop42.9
End31.6
blue by 13.7
2994
#10
93.30.3
88.989.2
Auto10.5
Teleop40.9
End41.8
Second
4920
#14
73.01.5
51.950.4
Auto9.1
Teleop39.4
End24.5
red by 9.1
6336
#16
63.90.5
50.851.2
Auto2.3
Teleop25.7
End35.8
Third
5519
#20
53.50.9
53.652.7
Auto4.9
Teleop23.4
End25.2
red by 19.5
5680
#34
33.90.3
31.231.5
Auto1.6
Teleop26.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed