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Red227
201387.3
137439.7
78182.6
Blue175
270687.1
633663.9
424849.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161221050100200250300350400227175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.34.4
58.062.4
Auto8.3
Teleop44.2
End34.7
red by 0.2
2706
#15
87.11.8
91.389.5
Auto1.4
Teleop40.3
End45.4
Second
781
#8
82.64.4
69.073.4
Auto7.7
Teleop39.4
End35.4
red by 18.7
6336
#16
63.93.0
61.458.4
Auto2.3
Teleop25.7
End35.8
Third
1374
#25
39.77.3
34.141.4
Auto3.0
Teleop20.7
End16.1
blue by 9.7
4248
#22
49.41.8
49.047.3
Auto8.4
Teleop33.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed