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Red200
492073.0
494691.1
651444.0
Blue165
133440.7
132587.3
137439.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184158050100250300350400200165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#12
91.11.9
82.684.5
Auto12.6
Teleop39.4
End39.1
red by 3.8
87.31.3
84.683.3
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End31.1
Second
4920
#14
73.02.9
49.152.1
Auto9.1
Teleop39.4
End24.5
red by 32.2
1334
#24
40.72.0
28.526.6
Auto1.2
Teleop26.0
End13.5
Third
6514
#17
44.01.9
39.941.8
Auto6.1
Teleop27.1
End10.9
red by 4.3
1374
#25
39.71.8
40.939.1
Auto3.0
Teleop20.7
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed