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Red250
137439.7
492073.0
4976114.4
Blue135
124186.7
461869.6
478337.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205200100150250300250135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.45.0
97.5102.5
Auto8.0
Teleop52.1
End54.4
red by 27.7
86.73.7
81.377.6
Auto11.5
Teleop50.0
End25.1
Second
4920
#14
73.05.0
57.762.6
Auto9.1
Teleop39.4
End24.5
red by 3.3
4618
#18
69.64.9
70.565.6
Auto3.2
Teleop37.8
End28.6
Third
1374
#25
39.75.0
39.144.0
Auto3.0
Teleop20.7
End16.1
red by 2.4
4783
#28
37.33.7
38.735.0
Auto2.6
Teleop24.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed