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Red250
356060.5
4976114.4
540698.1
Blue327
124186.7
132587.3
633663.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872350100200400500600250327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.40.3
111.8111.5
Auto8.0
Teleop52.1
End54.4
red by 27.1
87.32.0
84.786.8
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End31.1
Second
98.10.3
95.595.2
Auto11.5
Teleop44.1
End42.5
red by 11.4
86.72.0
84.186.1
Auto11.5
Teleop50.0
End25.1
Third
3560
#31
60.50.3
57.957.5
Auto7.8
Teleop24.2
End28.5
blue by 3.4
6336
#16
63.92.0
61.363.3
Auto2.3
Teleop25.7
End35.8