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Quarterfinal 1-12017 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship
Red522
4814102.3
2056155.6
610132.0
Blue214
1285117.7
6387102.4
130595.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505395100200300600700800522214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
155.60.3
154.4→154.8
Auto32.6
Teleop70.4
End52.6
red by 37.9
1285
#26
117.72.6
121.2→118.6
Auto11.8
Teleop59.8
End46.1
Second
610
#3
132.00.3
130.8→131.2
Auto16.2
Teleop63.6
End52.2
red by 29.6
6387
#9
102.42.6
105.9→103.3
Auto11.8
Teleop53.7
End36.9
Third
4814
#22
102.30.3
101.1→101.4
Auto10.1
Teleop50.1
End42.0
red by 6.3
1305
#44
95.92.6
98.5→95.9
Auto12.7
Teleop51.9
End31.3