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Red523
4814102.3
2056155.6
610132.0
Blue395
1285117.7
6387102.4
5885110.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499440200300400600700800523395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.60.3
154.8155.1
Auto32.6
Teleop70.4
End52.6
red by 37.9
1285
#26
117.70.9
118.6117.7
Auto11.8
Teleop59.8
End46.1
Second
610
#3
132.00.3
131.2131.5
Auto16.2
Teleop63.6
End52.2
red by 21.4
5885
#12
110.60.9
111.5110.6
Auto9.4
Teleop53.9
End47.3
Third
4814
#22
102.30.3
101.4101.8
Auto10.1
Teleop50.1
End42.0
blue by 0.2
102.40.9
103.3102.4
Auto11.8
Teleop53.7
End36.9