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Quarterfinal 2-12017 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship
Red250
5024116.4
3683111.8
5406118.2
Blue321
4946104.4
2386106.6
4039112.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462432200300400500600250321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#40
118.22.5
123.4→120.9
Auto17.0
Teleop52.3
End48.9
red by 6.0
4039
#33
112.10.3
114.8→114.4
Auto12.5
Teleop58.7
End40.9
Second
5024
#11
116.42.5
121.7→119.2
Auto10.8
Teleop57.5
End48.1
red by 9.8
2386
#6
106.60.3
109.3→108.9
Auto13.2
Teleop49.1
End44.3
Third
3683
#5
111.82.5
117.1→114.6
Auto13.0
Teleop57.1
End41.7
red by 7.3
4946
#16
104.40.3
107.1→106.8
Auto12.6
Teleop46.3
End45.5