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Red345
4039112.1
634794.2
4001104.7
Blue315
2609118.8
611081.4
4525102.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323315150200250300350400345315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#33
112.12.6
112.2114.8
Auto12.5
Teleop58.7
End40.9
blue by 6.7
2609
#43
118.81.0
119.1120.1
Auto16.5
Teleop53.4
End48.8
Second
4001
#17
104.72.6
102.1104.7
Auto12.8
Teleop47.4
End44.5
red by 2.6
4525
#42
102.11.0
101.1102.1
Auto17.4
Teleop57.5
End27.1
Third
6347
#39
94.22.6
91.694.2
Auto9.1
Teleop54.9
End30.2
red by 12.7
6110
#24
81.41.0
80.581.4
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End35.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
63%Rotor oddsEarned33%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed