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Red302
2056155.6
503697.8
4001104.7
Blue249
1114128.9
651384.1
1360112.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3553200100200400500600700302249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.62.7
143.1140.4
Auto32.6
Teleop70.4
End52.6
red by 26.7
128.95.7
124.6119.0
Auto31.0
Teleop55.2
End42.6
Second
4001
#17
104.72.7
101.098.3
Auto12.8
Teleop47.4
End44.5
blue by 7.6
1360
#29
112.35.7
107.4101.7
Auto14.2
Teleop51.2
End46.9
Third
97.82.7
88.986.2
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End35.3
red by 13.7
6513
#45
84.15.7
76.871.1
Auto9.3
Teleop38.9
End35.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
48%Pressure oddsEarned2%Pressure oddsMissed