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Red325
86598.0
648179.3
77299.8
Blue235
5885110.6
507694.1
607066.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293276100150200250350400450325235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#51
99.82.9
103.0105.9
Auto12.4
Teleop49.3
End38.1
blue by 10.8
5885
#12
110.62.0
103.0101.0
Auto9.4
Teleop53.9
End47.3
Second
865
#31
98.02.9
98.9101.8
Auto8.1
Teleop46.5
End43.3
red by 3.9
5076
#53
94.12.0
96.794.7
Auto15.0
Teleop40.9
End38.2
Third
6481
#21
79.32.9
74.677.5
Auto8.1
Teleop45.5
End25.8
red by 12.5
6070
#59
66.82.0
64.862.8
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed