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Red255
672593.1
132595.7
854112.3
Blue205
5885110.6
648179.3
434391.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303295200250350400255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#41
112.32.1
104.6102.5
Auto14.7
Teleop44.4
End53.2
red by 1.7
5885
#12
110.65.1
101.095.9
Auto9.4
Teleop53.9
End47.3
Second
1325
#20
95.72.1
87.685.4
Auto14.5
Teleop48.4
End32.8
red by 4.3
4343
#46
91.45.1
103.198.0
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End41.6
Third
6725
#18
93.12.1
94.792.6
Auto9.5
Teleop47.3
End36.3
red by 13.8
6481
#21
79.35.1
77.572.4
Auto8.1
Teleop45.5
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed