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Red378
651384.1
2609118.8
4917113.1
Blue360
3683111.8
2386106.6
5024116.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315334150200250350400450500378360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#43
118.83.1
111.5114.6
Auto16.5
Teleop53.4
End48.8
red by 2.4
5024
#11
116.43.0
111.9115.0
Auto10.8
Teleop57.5
End48.1
Second
4917
#10
113.13.1
117.9121.0
Auto11.4
Teleop57.4
End44.3
red by 1.4
111.83.0
106.8109.8
Auto13.0
Teleop57.1
End41.7
Third
6513
#45
84.13.1
72.275.3
Auto9.3
Teleop38.9
End35.8
blue by 22.5
106.63.0
96.099.1
Auto13.2
Teleop49.1
End44.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsEarned10%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed