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Red305
86598.0
6342101.6
654488.3
Blue259
4001104.7
270698.4
1241104.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793610100200400500600700305259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6342
#28
101.62.0
91.093.0
Auto11.4
Teleop47.8
End42.4
blue by 3.3
1241
#38
104.84.9
128.1123.2
Auto16.2
Teleop51.4
End37.2
Second
865
#31
98.02.0
94.796.6
Auto8.1
Teleop46.5
End43.3
blue by 6.7
4001
#17
104.74.9
106.2101.3
Auto12.8
Teleop47.4
End44.5
Third
6544
#60
88.32.0
89.991.9
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End44.3
blue by 10.1
2706
#27
98.44.9
98.193.2
Auto6.0
Teleop42.4
End50.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed