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Red345
188116.5
632397.5
4939117.8
Blue326
5024116.4
5428102.8
132595.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3353100100200400500600700800345326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.82.0
104.5106.5
Auto14.6
Teleop56.8
End46.5
red by 1.4
5024
#11
116.41.9
121.1123.0
Auto10.8
Teleop57.5
End48.1
Second
188
#34
116.52.0
122.6124.5
Auto17.1
Teleop54.6
End44.8
red by 13.7
5428
#25
102.81.9
90.492.3
Auto13.2
Teleop43.0
End46.7
Third
6323
#52
97.52.0
88.490.4
Auto9.2
Teleop50.2
End38.1
red by 1.7
1325
#20
95.71.9
86.388.2
Auto14.5
Teleop48.4
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
16%Rotor oddsEarned8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed