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Red300
4001104.7
507694.1
6387102.4
Blue205
672593.1
4039112.1
633175.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310318150200250350400450500300205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#17
104.70.3
101.3101.6
Auto12.8
Teleop47.4
End44.5
blue by 7.4
4039
#33
112.16.4
116.4110.0
Auto12.5
Teleop58.7
End40.9
Second
102.40.3
95.195.4
Auto11.8
Teleop53.7
End36.9
red by 9.3
6725
#18
93.16.4
98.692.2
Auto9.5
Teleop47.3
End36.3
Third
5076
#53
94.10.3
99.399.6
Auto15.0
Teleop40.9
End38.2
red by 18.4
6331
#55
75.76.4
86.179.7
Auto11.5
Teleop34.0
End30.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned27%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed