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Red345
6342101.6
854112.3
637894.3
Blue348
2609118.8
4939117.8
4814102.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3053360200400600800345348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#41
112.33.4
105.5108.9
Auto14.7
Teleop44.4
End53.2
blue by 6.5
2609
#43
118.82.2
114.9117.1
Auto16.5
Teleop53.4
End48.8
Second
6342
#28
101.63.4
93.096.4
Auto11.4
Teleop47.8
End42.4
blue by 16.3
117.82.2
106.5108.7
Auto14.6
Teleop56.8
End46.5
Third
6378
#35
94.33.4
95.899.2
Auto10.1
Teleop46.9
End37.3
blue by 8.0
4814
#22
102.32.2
93.695.8
Auto10.1
Teleop50.1
End42.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsEarned18%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed