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Red395
611081.4
5428102.8
1285117.7
Blue155
607066.8
651384.1
4678101.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122680100200400500600395155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#26
117.73.6
113.1116.7
Auto11.8
Teleop59.8
End46.1
red by 15.8
4678
#32
101.97.0
104.597.5
Auto14.4
Teleop52.1
End35.4
Second
5428
#25
102.83.6
92.395.9
Auto13.2
Teleop43.0
End46.7
red by 18.7
6513
#45
84.17.0
77.170.1
Auto9.3
Teleop38.9
End35.8
Third
6110
#24
81.43.6
85.789.3
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End35.7
red by 14.6
6070
#59
66.87.0
78.971.9
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsEarned13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed