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Red255
854112.3
633175.7
4001104.7
Blue304
4976126.2
3683111.8
637894.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963580100200400500600700255304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#41
112.32.3
108.9106.6
Auto14.7
Teleop44.4
End53.2
blue by 14.0
4976
#13
126.21.9
118.1116.2
Auto17.2
Teleop62.5
End46.6
Second
4001
#17
104.72.3
101.198.8
Auto12.8
Teleop47.4
End44.5
blue by 7.1
111.81.9
114.8113.0
Auto13.0
Teleop57.1
End41.7
Third
6331
#55
75.72.3
79.777.3
Auto11.5
Teleop34.0
End30.3
blue by 18.6
6378
#35
94.31.9
99.297.3
Auto10.1
Teleop46.9
End37.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed30%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed