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Red351
1241104.8
1285117.7
633696.1
Blue371
132595.7
6387102.4
1114128.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357329100200300400500600351371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#26
117.71.0
116.7117.7
Auto11.8
Teleop59.8
End46.1
blue by 11.2
128.93.7
130.1133.7
Auto31.0
Teleop55.2
End42.6
Second
1241
#38
104.81.0
118.7119.7
Auto16.2
Teleop51.4
End37.2
red by 2.4
102.43.7
95.499.1
Auto11.8
Teleop53.7
End36.9
Third
6336
#54
96.11.0
100.1101.1
Auto9.4
Teleop45.5
End41.2
red by 0.4
1325
#20
95.73.7
90.794.4
Auto14.5
Teleop48.4
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
35%Rotor oddsEarned26%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed7%Pressure oddsMissed