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Red108
6009110.9
503164.9
3683108.8
Blue205
607066.8
4939113.1
467889.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30228050100150200250350400450108205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6009
#15
110.90.0
110.9110.9
Auto8.0
Teleop55.5
End47.3
blue by 2.2
113.10.0
113.1113.1
Auto14.5
Teleop60.7
End37.9
Second
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop57.3
End38.1
red by 19.7
89.10.0
89.189.1
Auto13.2
Teleop49.4
End26.6
Third
5031
#23
64.90.0
64.964.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End32.2
blue by 1.9
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
56%Rotor odds81%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds