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Red196
5428102.8
131095.3
77159.5
Blue230
124654.8
434391.4
607066.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802160100400500600196230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5428
#17
102.80.0
102.8102.8
Auto13.2
Teleop43.0
End46.7
red by 11.4
91.40.0
91.491.4
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End41.6
Second
1310
#27
95.30.0
95.395.3
Auto18.4
Teleop40.7
End36.2
red by 28.5
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End23.0
Third
771
#24
59.50.0
59.559.5
Auto4.9
Teleop38.1
End16.5
red by 4.7
1246
#26
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds