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Red252
124654.8
3683108.8
651384.1
Blue250
613577.7
270893.7
5036106.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25529804006008001,0001,2001,4001,600252250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop57.3
End38.1
red by 2.5
5036
#12
106.40.0
106.4106.4
Auto14.1
Teleop53.0
End39.2
Second
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto9.3
Teleop38.9
End35.8
blue by 9.7
2708
#18
93.70.0
93.793.7
Auto12.0
Teleop35.9
End45.8
Third
1246
#26
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End19.4
blue by 22.9
6135
#30
77.70.0
77.777.7
Auto5.5
Teleop30.2
End42.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
15%Rotor odds7%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds