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Red200
4814112.7
607066.8
5428102.8
Blue100
1325101.4
865107.7
503164.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299287100150200250350400200100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.70.0
112.7112.7
Auto11.6
Teleop54.5
End46.6
red by 4.9
865
#16
107.70.0
107.7107.7
Auto12.1
Teleop46.2
End49.5
Second
5428
#17
102.80.0
102.8102.8
Auto13.2
Teleop43.0
End46.7
red by 1.4
1325
#10
101.40.0
101.4101.4
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
Third
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End23.0
red by 1.9
5031
#23
64.90.0
64.964.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End32.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
39%Rotor odds15%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds