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Red235
434391.4
77159.5
865107.7
Blue150
4001104.7
270893.7
1325101.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643230200400600800235150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#16
107.70.0
107.7107.7
Auto12.1
Teleop46.2
End49.5
red by 3.1
4001
#29
104.70.0
104.7104.7
Auto12.8
Teleop47.4
End44.5
Second
91.40.0
91.491.4
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End41.6
blue by 10.0
1325
#10
101.40.0
101.4101.4
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
Third
771
#24
59.50.0
59.559.5
Auto4.9
Teleop38.1
End16.5
blue by 34.2
2708
#18
93.70.0
93.793.7
Auto12.0
Teleop35.9
End45.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor odds10%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds