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Red305
238689.0
4039116.5
4939106.2
Blue239
5406112.0
4976124.8
461877.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333340100200300400500600305239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.50.2
116.7116.5
Auto15.3
Teleop58.0
End43.3
blue by 8.3
124.81.8
126.6124.8
Auto17.0
Teleop57.3
End50.5
Second
4939
#26
106.20.2
106.4106.2
Auto13.8
Teleop50.5
End41.9
blue by 5.8
112.01.8
113.8112.0
Auto16.9
Teleop51.4
End43.8
Third
2386
#17
89.00.2
89.189.0
Auto9.9
Teleop45.6
End33.5
red by 11.4
4618
#36
77.61.8
79.477.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.1
End30.5