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Red352
238689.0
4039116.5
4939106.2
Blue242
1360101.9
90791.4
638779.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33429702004006008001,000352242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.51.2
115.2113.9
Auto15.3
Teleop58.0
End43.3
red by 14.6
1360
#15
101.91.1
105.8104.7
Auto13.4
Teleop46.6
End41.9
Second
4939
#26
106.21.2
104.9103.6
Auto13.8
Teleop50.5
End41.9
red by 14.8
907
#7
91.41.1
95.394.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End43.2
Third
2386
#17
89.01.2
87.686.4
Auto9.9
Teleop45.6
End33.5
red by 9.0
6387
#14
79.91.1
83.882.8
Auto9.5
Teleop45.1
End25.3